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2022-11-06

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 64.1% 35.9% -
Bradley-Terry 56.3% 43.7% -
Margin 72.2% 27.8% -5.3 (8.7 off)
Pythagorean 54.0% 46.0% -
Efficiency 62.9% 37.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.4% 32.6% -
Log Adjusted 67.5% 32.5% -
Points Off/Def 57.2% 42.8% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers -14 (100-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darius Garland * 38 7-18 3-9 7-7 4 7 0 0 24 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 37 10-17 1-7 12-13 5 2 1 1 33 - -
Evan Mobley * 30 2-7 0-1 1-2 7 3 2 1 5 - -
Caris LeVert * 29 5-10 1-2 1-2 4 3 1 0 12 - -
Jarrett Allen * 27 5-13 0-0 6-6 11 0 2 2 16 - -
Dean Wade 24 1-3 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 - -
Kevin Love 20 4-10 2-8 0-0 10 1 0 1 10 - -
Cedi Osman 19 3-5 1-3 2-2 1 1 0 0 9 - -
Robin Lopez 6 0-0 0-0 3-4 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Isaac Okoro 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
LeBron James * 33 13-23 1-4 0-3 7 4 0 0 27 - -
Anthony Davis * 32 7-12 0-0 5-9 12 4 0 1 19 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 29 5-12 2-5 0-0 6 0 0 0 12 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 19 3-7 0-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Kendrick Nunn * 18 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 - -
Russell Westbrook 31 6-13 3-5 4-5 3 10 2 1 19 - -
Austin Reaves 25 0-2 0-1 1-1 4 0 0 1 1 - -
Matt Ryan 17 2-6 2-3 2-3 2 2 1 0 8 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 15 2-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 4 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Max Christie 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter