Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.9% | 80.1% | +7.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.9% | 92.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.9% | 88.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +25 (126-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 31 | 8-14 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 28 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 24 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 24 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 24 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 20 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 18 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 15 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jordan Hall | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 29 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 26 | 9-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 26 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 23 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 25 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 24 | 9-17 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 19 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 16 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter