Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +2.9 | ✓ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.9% | 70.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +12 (129-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 31 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 29 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 29 | 6-16 | 4-11 | 5-7 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 26 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 20 | 8-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 23 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 18 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 14 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden McDaniels * | 34 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 32 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Kyle Anderson * | 30 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 30 | 9-14 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 25 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 26 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 31 | 6-12 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 15 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 13 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter