Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.8% | 21.2% | -7.2 | ✗ (21.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +14 (108-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 31 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 26 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 17 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala * | 16 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 22 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 19 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams | 19 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 14 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaylin Williams | 5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevon Carter * | 30 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis * | 29 | 5-15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jrue Holiday * | 28 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp * | 24 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 23 | 10-16 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 25 | - | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 24 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 22 | 4-10 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| George Hill | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen | 20 | 6-8 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter