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2022-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 65.1% 34.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% - ✓
Margin 63.1% 36.9% -2.9 ✓ (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 50.7% 49.3% - ✓
Efficiency 58.8% 41.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 59.4% 40.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 59.5% 40.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 52.0% 48.0% - ✓

Actual: New York Knicks -15 (118-133). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 37 10-19 6-11 4-4 5 3 0 0 30 - -
Jayson Tatum * 36 8-17 6-13 4-4 4 5 1 2 26 - -
Marcus Smart * 35 5-9 3-5 0-0 2 11 0 0 13 - -
Derrick White * 22 3-5 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 7 - -
Blake Griffin * 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 7 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 28 5-14 2-5 2-2 5 5 2 0 14 - -
Grant Williams 27 4-7 2-4 2-2 4 1 2 0 12 - -
Sam Hauser 21 6-9 5-8 0-0 3 2 0 0 17 - -
Noah Vonleh 16 3-4 1-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 7 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Randle * 40 10-19 3-7 6-6 9 2 0 0 29 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein * 38 5-6 0-0 0-0 14 1 0 1 10 - -
Cam Reddish * 37 1-6 1-2 1-2 2 2 1 1 4 - -
RJ Barrett * 36 9-15 3-5 6-6 4 4 1 0 27 - -
Jalen Brunson * 32 10-17 0-2 2-2 3 10 0 0 22 - -
Obi Toppin 14 3-9 1-5 0-0 6 0 1 1 7 - -
Derrick Rose 13 4-10 2-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 10 - -
Immanuel Quickley 13 2-6 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 4 - -
Evan Fournier 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Jericho Sims 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 - -

* = starter