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2022-11-05

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 22.8% 77.2% -
Bradley-Terry 30.2% 69.8% -
Margin 24.3% 75.7% +6.2 (3.2 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Log Adjusted 52.3% 47.7% -
Points Off/Def 46.5% 53.5% -

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +3 (124-121). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 41 12-23 4-9 1-1 10 0 1 1 29 - -
Brandon Ingram * 38 7-23 2-4 0-0 5 7 0 2 16 - -
Zion Williamson * 37 11-20 0-1 7-10 8 4 0 0 29 - -
Herbert Jones * 33 7-13 0-2 5-9 9 2 3 0 19 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 5-12 0-0 3-4 17 1 1 1 13 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 27 3-4 0-0 2-2 4 2 3 1 8 - -
Trey Murphy III 17 0-3 0-3 2-2 0 2 0 0 2 - -
Jose Alvarado 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 4 0 1 5 - -
Naji Marshall 12 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Devonte' Graham 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Dyson Daniels 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Trae Young * 42 9-26 2-9 14-15 1 10 2 1 34 - -
Dejounte Murray * 41 9-23 1-8 3-4 10 11 3 0 22 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 39 6-13 2-6 1-2 6 1 0 1 15 - -
Clint Capela * 35 10-15 0-0 1-2 19 1 1 4 21 - -
John Collins * 35 3-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 2 7 - -
Aaron Holiday 21 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 1 0 5 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 17 1-2 0-0 2-2 1 1 1 0 4 - -
Justin Holiday 16 2-7 1-6 0-0 1 0 2 0 5 - -
Jalen Johnson 14 5-7 1-3 0-0 4 1 2 0 11 - -

* = starter