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2022-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 24.5% 75.5% -
Bradley-Terry 38.8% 61.2% -
Margin 35.5% 64.5% +3.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 55.0% 45.0% -
Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% -
Log Adjusted 64.8% 35.2% -
Points Off/Def 56.3% 43.7% -

Actual: Orlando Magic -3 (123-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 40 14-24 2-7 7-7 5 3 1 0 37 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 37 10-14 0-1 5-12 11 6 1 1 25 - -
Harrison Barnes * 35 4-10 1-4 0-0 5 1 1 0 9 - -
Kevin Huerter * 32 3-7 3-6 0-2 1 2 0 1 9 - -
Keegan Murray * 24 1-6 1-4 0-0 2 0 1 0 3 - -
Trey Lyles 29 5-10 4-7 1-1 3 2 0 1 15 - -
Malik Monk 28 5-10 3-7 2-2 1 5 0 0 15 - -
Davion Mitchell 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Chimezie Metu 10 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Terence Davis 8 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 1 1 5 - -
Richaun Holmes 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Franz Wagner * 40 13-22 1-5 4-5 3 6 3 0 31 - -
Paolo Banchero * 39 14-26 0-3 5-5 16 4 0 1 33 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 38 6-8 1-3 4-4 9 6 1 0 17 - -
Bol Bol * 37 10-11 2-3 1-1 7 2 0 0 23 - -
Jalen Suggs * 34 2-7 0-3 2-2 1 7 1 1 6 - -
Chuma Okeke 22 2-6 0-3 0-0 6 0 2 2 4 - -
R.J. Hampton 17 2-6 0-1 1-1 2 1 0 0 5 - -
Kevon Harris 16 1-4 0-2 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Terrence Ross 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Admiral Schofield 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter