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2022-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 72.9% 27.1% -
Bradley-Terry 64.3% 35.7% -
Margin 75.8% 24.2% -6.3 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% -
Log Adjusted 44.4% 55.6% -
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +9 (114-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 38 5-18 3-10 7-7 0 9 2 0 20 - -
Jonathan Kuminga * 37 7-12 1-3 3-4 4 2 2 1 18 - -
Anthony Lamb * 36 6-9 4-6 0-0 3 2 3 0 16 - -
Moses Moody * 32 4-9 1-3 5-5 4 1 0 0 14 - -
Kevon Looney * 24 2-3 0-0 1-1 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Ty Jerome 31 7-12 2-6 2-2 6 5 0 0 18 - -
James Wiseman 16 1-1 0-0 3-4 6 2 0 0 5 - -
JaMychal Green 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Ryan Rollins 9 2-4 1-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 7 - -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Ingram * 36 8-17 3-7 7-10 5 5 0 2 26 - -
CJ McCollum * 34 7-17 3-6 3-4 8 5 2 0 20 - -
Herbert Jones * 29 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 2 3 0 4 - -
Zion Williamson * 27 7-11 0-0 2-4 3 1 1 0 16 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 19 2-3 0-1 4-6 6 0 0 0 8 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 28 10-12 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 20 - -
Trey Murphy III 27 3-7 3-6 1-1 4 4 2 0 10 - -
Jose Alvarado 18 3-6 3-4 1-2 1 2 2 0 10 - -
Devonte' Graham 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 - -
Naji Marshall 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter