Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +1 (111-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O.G. Anunoby * | 38 | 11-21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 38 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 36 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 31 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 29 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 26 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Otto Porter Jr. | 20 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 37 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 12-14 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 35 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 30 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 25 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 22 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 20 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 19 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 16 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - |
* = starter