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2022-11-05

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets Memphis Grizzlies Spread Result
Elo 42.3% 57.7% -
Bradley-Terry 20.2% 79.8% -
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 (21.2 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% -
Efficiency 17.0% 83.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.6% 80.4% -
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% -
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +31 (130-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dennis Smith Jr. * 28 3-7 1-2 1-2 3 5 2 1 8 - -
P.J. Washington * 27 2-15 1-7 5-6 4 0 0 1 10 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 24 5-12 2-5 5-6 1 1 2 0 17 - -
Mason Plumlee * 21 3-5 0-0 1-2 7 3 1 0 7 - -
Jalen McDaniels * 21 1-5 0-4 2-2 1 2 1 0 4 - -
James Bouknight 27 7-10 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 14 - -
JT Thor 26 4-12 2-5 1-2 5 2 1 1 11 - -
Theo Maledon 19 3-5 1-2 0-0 5 2 1 0 7 - -
Nick Richards 18 2-9 0-0 5-6 9 2 0 1 9 - -
Bryce McGowens 16 3-5 1-2 5-5 1 0 1 0 12 - -
Kai Jones 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 3 0 - -

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Desmond Bane * 24 8-16 3-7 0-0 6 2 0 0 19 - -
Ja Morant * 24 4-12 1-3 3-4 4 11 0 0 12 - -
Dillon Brooks * 22 8-12 6-7 1-2 4 4 0 0 23 - -
Santi Aldama * 21 5-9 2-5 0-0 5 1 1 2 12 - -
Steven Adams * 21 6-10 0-0 1-2 19 4 2 2 13 - -
David Roddy 27 4-8 2-5 1-2 2 0 0 1 11 - -
John Konchar 20 3-4 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 1 8 - -
Jake LaRavia 19 1-4 0-2 2-2 9 0 0 0 4 - -
Brandon Clarke 15 4-7 0-0 5-5 2 2 0 3 13 - -
Tyus Jones 14 5-8 0-2 1-1 2 3 0 0 11 - -
Kennedy Chandler 10 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 4 2 0 2 - -
Xavier Tillman 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Vince Williams Jr. 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 1 0 - -

* = starter