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2022-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 23.1% 76.9% -
Bradley-Terry 22.6% 77.4% -
Margin 11.4% 88.6% +11.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 30.2% 69.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 30.9% 69.1% -
Log Adjusted 30.9% 69.1% -
Points Off/Def 32.6% 67.4% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +4 (123-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 36 6-13 2-6 2-3 7 3 2 0 16 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 35 13-23 0-3 20-22 3 5 2 1 46 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 35 10-14 4-5 0-0 12 3 1 0 24 - -
Patrick Williams * 30 3-9 1-4 0-0 5 1 0 1 7 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 29 5-8 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Alex Caruso 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 0 1 5 - -
Goran Dragic 19 2-9 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 1 5 - -
Javonte Green 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 1 2 1 5 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 40 8-23 3-10 17-20 12 6 1 1 36 - -
Jaylen Brown * 33 6-14 0-3 4-5 5 2 0 0 16 - -
Al Horford * 33 4-8 1-5 2-3 5 5 0 1 11 - -
Derrick White * 26 3-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 1 2 7 - -
Marcus Smart * 24 5-10 2-4 0-0 1 1 1 0 12 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 28 9-10 0-0 7-9 2 4 0 1 25 - -
Grant Williams 20 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 3 0 0 4 - -
Sam Hauser 18 3-6 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 8 - -
Luke Kornet 14 1-3 0-1 2-2 3 1 2 2 4 - -

* = starter