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2022-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 30.4% 69.6% -
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% -
Margin 62.6% 37.4% -2.8 (21.2 off)
Pythagorean 65.1% 34.9% -
Efficiency 84.4% 15.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.5% 17.5% -
Log Adjusted 82.5% 17.5% -
Points Off/Def 71.2% 28.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -24 (88-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 31 11-16 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 2 23 - -
Evan Mobley * 30 5-14 0-1 1-2 8 2 0 8 11 - -
Caris LeVert * 30 6-10 1-4 2-2 6 6 0 0 15 - -
Dean Wade * 23 0-4 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 - -
Isaac Okoro * 22 4-6 0-1 1-1 4 0 1 0 9 - -
Cedi Osman 25 5-9 4-6 1-1 4 6 0 0 15 - -
Raul Neto 24 3-7 2-3 2-2 5 5 2 0 10 - -
Kevin Love 23 7-10 4-7 3-4 8 10 0 1 21 - -
Lamar Stevens 18 2-4 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 1 6 - -
Mamadi Diakite 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Robin Lopez 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaden Ivey * 34 6-13 1-5 5-6 6 3 0 1 18 - -
Saddiq Bey * 32 6-13 3-7 3-3 4 2 3 0 18 - -
Cade Cunningham * 31 7-18 3-6 2-3 5 5 1 1 19 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 26 2-9 1-4 1-1 2 0 1 0 6 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 23 3-5 0-1 0-0 4 1 2 1 6 - -
Isaiah Livers 21 3-7 3-5 2-2 1 0 0 1 11 - -
Killian Hayes 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 2 - -
Nerlens Noel 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 - -
Kevin Knox II 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 - -
Rodney McGruder 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Cory Joseph 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Hamidou Diallo 3 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter