Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 18.4% | 81.6% | +8.2 | ✗ (20.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -12 (110-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Gordon * | 35 | 10-13 | 3-4 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 13 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 35 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 32 | 8-19 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 28 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 31 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 19 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 13-17 | 0-0 | 11-11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 30 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 27 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl * | 22 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams | 14 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ousmane Dieng | 12 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter