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2022-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Orlando Magic Spread Result
Elo 51.9% 48.1% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 48.8% 51.2% - ✓
Margin 55.2% 44.8% -1.2 ✗ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - ✗
Efficiency 61.0% 39.0% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 60.4% 39.6% - ✗
Log Adjusted 60.4% 39.6% - ✗
Points Off/Def 52.7% 47.3% - ✗

Actual: Orlando Magic +1 (130-129). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Stephen Curry * 38 13-22 8-15 5-5 3 9 0 0 39 - -
Klay Thompson * 34 10-24 7-15 0-0 4 3 1 0 27 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 32 6-12 2-5 1-3 3 3 0 2 15 - -
Draymond Green * 29 4-5 0-0 0-1 5 7 1 0 8 - -
Kevon Looney * 29 8-11 0-0 1-1 7 3 1 0 17 - -
Jordan Poole 24 4-12 1-5 2-3 2 2 0 0 11 - -
JaMychal Green 16 3-5 1-1 0-0 6 0 0 1 7 - -
Ty Jerome 13 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 - -
Moses Moody 11 0-1 0-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 1 - -
James Wiseman 9 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 - -

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 36 8-17 0-4 6-9 8 3 0 1 22 - -
Franz Wagner * 36 7-12 1-1 4-5 3 2 0 0 19 - -
Jalen Suggs * 36 9-17 2-6 6-11 1 9 4 0 26 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 33 4-9 2-4 4-6 9 2 1 1 14 - -
Bol Bol * 18 2-3 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 2 4 - -
Chuma Okeke 27 4-6 3-5 5-6 9 3 0 1 16 - -
Kevon Harris 20 4-7 2-3 2-3 5 0 1 0 12 - -
R.J. Hampton 20 4-6 3-5 4-4 2 0 1 1 15 - -
Mo Bamba 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Caleb Houstan 4 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 - -

* = starter