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2022-11-03

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 31.8% 68.2% -
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% -
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 51.5% 48.5% -
Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% -
Log Adjusted 58.1% 41.9% -
Points Off/Def 50.6% 49.4% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +3 (120-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
CJ McCollum * 40 10-27 1-6 1-1 9 8 1 2 22 - -
Trey Murphy III * 39 4-9 0-5 4-4 5 3 1 0 12 - -
Naji Marshall * 38 3-8 1-3 2-2 5 3 3 1 9 - -
Zion Williamson * 36 11-21 0-1 5-8 5 7 0 0 27 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 21 3-11 1-2 2-2 10 1 0 0 9 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 31 5-8 0-0 1-2 8 5 4 1 11 - -
Devonte' Graham 18 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 - -
Jose Alvarado 17 6-8 3-4 0-0 2 4 1 0 15 - -
Dyson Daniels 16 3-5 2-3 0-2 5 2 0 1 8 - -
Jaxson Hayes 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonnie Walker IV * 40 9-17 5-9 5-6 3 1 1 1 28 - -
LeBron James * 39 9-23 0-7 2-4 10 8 0 2 20 - -
Anthony Davis * 37 8-17 0-0 4-4 16 4 1 4 20 - -
Patrick Beverley * 27 0-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 26 4-7 1-3 6-6 10 1 0 0 15 - -
Austin Reaves 34 2-6 0-3 3-3 0 2 2 0 7 - -
Russell Westbrook 25 6-10 1-4 0-0 7 9 0 1 13 - -
Matt Ryan 18 4-11 3-9 0-0 2 1 0 0 11 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 15 3-4 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 6 - -

* = starter