Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.3% | 81.7% | +8.2 | ✓ (5.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +3 (103-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauri Markkanen * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 33 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 33 | 9-20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 32 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 22 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton | 30 | 7-16 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 22 | 3-11 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rudy Gay | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Walker Kessler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 35 | 8-20 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 35 | 12-20 | 2-6 | 7-10 | 5 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 28 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 26 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 23 | 10-15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 20 | 1-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - |
* = starter