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2022-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 23.6% 76.4% -
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% -
Margin 41.8% 58.2% +1.8 (44.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.7% 36.3% -
Efficiency 80.9% 19.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.6% 21.4% -
Log Adjusted 78.7% 21.3% -
Points Off/Def 68.3% 31.7% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs -43 (100-143). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Scottie Barnes * 28 7-13 1-4 0-0 4 5 0 1 15 - -
Pascal Siakam * 27 10-19 1-5 1-1 10 11 1 0 22 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 26 9-17 2-6 4-4 3 2 2 0 24 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 24 7-12 1-3 3-3 5 3 5 1 18 - -
Christian Koloko * 23 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 1 2 - -
Chris Boucher 25 7-10 3-5 0-0 8 2 2 1 17 - -
Precious Achiuwa 21 4-9 0-3 4-4 6 1 1 1 12 - -
Dalano Banton 12 5-7 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 13 - -
Khem Birch 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Otto Porter Jr. 10 1-2 1-2 2-2 3 0 2 0 5 - -
Malachi Flynn 9 3-5 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 8 - -
Thaddeus Young 8 2-4 0-0 1-2 2 2 2 0 5 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Jeff Dowtin Jr. 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keita Bates-Diop * 24 6-12 2-4 3-4 4 1 0 0 17 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 20 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 6 - -
Tre Jones * 20 3-9 1-2 0-0 8 7 1 0 7 - -
Romeo Langford * 19 2-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 9 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 2 - -
Zach Collins 24 3-10 0-3 2-2 8 3 1 1 8 - -
Doug McDermott 22 4-9 1-4 0-0 4 3 0 0 9 - -
Malaki Branham 22 4-11 2-6 3-4 2 3 0 0 13 - -
Josh Richardson 19 3-9 2-6 2-2 1 3 0 0 10 - -
Jordan Hall 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Gorgui Dieng 16 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 2 0 2 9 - -
Charles Bassey 12 3-5 1-2 2-2 4 0 0 2 9 - -
Dominick Barlow 9 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 2 - -

* = starter