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2022-11-03

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 71.2% 28.8% -
Bradley-Terry 42.1% 57.9% -
Margin 43.7% 56.3% +1.4 (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 31.3% 68.7% -
Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.8% 83.2% -
Log Adjusted 16.9% 83.1% -
Points Off/Def 23.0% 77.0% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +25 (116-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Saddiq Bey * 35 5-12 3-7 9-10 3 1 1 1 22 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 32 6-9 2-3 2-2 10 1 0 1 16 - -
Cade Cunningham * 31 5-13 0-2 0-0 6 4 1 0 10 - -
Jaden Ivey * 30 3-11 1-4 0-0 2 1 4 0 7 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 27 5-12 3-7 1-1 3 2 0 0 14 - -
Killian Hayes 22 1-5 1-2 2-2 0 1 1 1 5 - -
Isaiah Livers 16 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Nerlens Noel 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 4 - -
Hamidou Diallo 11 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 - -
Cory Joseph 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 6 0 0 2 - -
Kevin Knox II 5 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Braxton Key 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Rodney McGruder 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 29 11-24 0-4 10-12 12 4 5 2 32 - -
Jrue Holiday * 29 11-16 4-7 0-0 7 3 0 0 26 - -
Brook Lopez * 27 5-8 0-2 1-1 7 2 1 1 11 - -
Grayson Allen * 24 2-6 1-4 0-0 1 4 1 0 5 - -
Jevon Carter * 18 1-5 0-2 2-2 1 3 4 1 4 - -
Jordan Nwora 25 4-9 2-5 2-2 4 1 2 0 12 - -
Bobby Portis 24 5-9 0-3 0-0 9 3 0 0 10 - -
George Hill 18 2-6 1-3 2-3 4 3 0 0 7 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 16 0-3 0-3 3-4 4 1 2 0 3 - -
Wesley Matthews 14 1-4 1-4 0-0 0 0 2 0 3 - -
Serge Ibaka 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter