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2022-11-02

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 50.7% 49.3% -
Bradley-Terry 48.0% 52.0% -
Margin 48.3% 51.7% +0.4 (0.6 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 51.2% 48.8% -
Log Adjusted 51.2% 48.8% -
Points Off/Def 46.6% 53.4% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +1 (114-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 44 10-26 3-10 7-7 8 4 1 0 30 - -
Jayson Tatum * 42 8-21 2-9 8-8 12 6 1 4 26 - -
Al Horford * 39 5-11 1-4 1-1 12 1 1 1 12 - -
Marcus Smart * 36 5-12 1-5 5-5 6 5 0 0 16 - -
Derrick White * 32 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 6 0 2 3 - -
Grant Williams 31 3-7 2-6 3-4 7 0 2 1 11 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 24 6-11 1-3 2-2 4 3 0 0 15 - -
Sam Hauser 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 0 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Caris LeVert * 46 4-12 3-7 4-6 8 4 0 0 15 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 43 11-27 3-9 0-0 4 6 1 2 25 - -
Darius Garland * 42 9-20 5-11 6-7 5 12 3 0 29 - -
Jarrett Allen * 36 6-11 0-0 2-2 14 0 0 2 14 - -
Evan Mobley * 32 7-8 0-1 1-2 7 2 0 0 15 - -
Dean Wade 24 2-7 0-3 2-2 4 0 2 0 6 - -
Kevin Love 14 2-10 0-5 4-5 5 0 0 0 8 - -
Cedi Osman 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaac Okoro 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Robin Lopez 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter