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2022-11-02

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 37.4% 62.6% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 49.1% 50.9% - ✓
Margin 56.9% 43.1% -1.5 ✗ (10.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.0% 56.0% - ✓
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 38.8% 61.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% - ✓

Actual: Phoenix Suns +9 (116-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 39 8-21 5-10 3-5 6 1 3 1 24 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 36 9-18 3-7 3-3 10 7 0 1 24 - -
Rudy Gobert * 32 0-1 0-0 7-7 9 3 0 1 7 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 22 2-8 1-3 0-0 4 4 0 0 5 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 17 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 4 - -
Jaylen Nowell 22 4-13 0-1 2-3 2 4 0 0 10 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 21 4-8 1-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 9 - -
Taurean Prince 17 2-6 2-6 2-2 2 2 0 1 8 - -
Naz Reid 15 5-6 1-2 2-2 3 0 1 0 13 - -
Kyle Anderson 14 1-1 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 38 7-10 1-2 4-4 3 4 1 1 19 - -
Cameron Johnson * 33 10-17 7-11 2-3 2 3 3 1 29 - -
Chris Paul * 33 5-12 1-5 4-6 8 12 3 0 15 - -
Devin Booker * 30 6-18 2-7 4-5 7 5 0 1 18 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 29 4-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 4 8 - -
Jock Landale 16 2-6 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 1 4 - -
Landry Shamet 16 2-8 2-5 2-2 0 0 0 0 8 - -
Cameron Payne 14 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 2 1 0 8 - -
Torrey Craig 11 1-2 1-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 4 - -
Damion Lee 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Dario Saric 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 - -

* = starter