Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.0% | 60.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.0% | 58.0% | +1.8 | ✓ (28.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors +30 (139-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 32 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 7-8 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 30 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 18 | - | |
| John Collins * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 22 | 4-10 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 23 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Trent Jr. * | 36 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 10 | - | |
| Pascal Siakam * | 35 | 8-21 | 2-3 | 13-16 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 30 | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 33 | 7-14 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 23 | - | |
| O.G. Anunoby * | 31 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 14 | 21 | - | |
| Christian Koloko * | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 20 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Precious Achiuwa | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Khem Birch | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 9 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - | |
| Justin Champagnie | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Jeff Dowtin Jr. | 5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 5 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Ron Harper Jr. | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter