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2022-10-31

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 72.1% 27.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 60.0% 40.0% - โœ“
Margin 70.9% 29.1% -4.9 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% - โœ“
Efficiency 65.3% 34.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 65.0% 35.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 65.0% 35.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 55.5% 44.5% - โœ“

Actual: Washington Wizards -7 (111-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 37 8-17 2-6 5-6 7 17 2 0 23 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 6-10 1-3 3-7 5 1 4 1 16 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 34 12-22 2-6 2-2 3 3 1 0 28 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 32 7-10 2-4 0-0 2 1 2 0 16 - -
P.J. Tucker * 31 6-8 1-3 0-0 5 1 1 0 13 - -
Matisse Thybulle 16 0-1 0-1 1-2 5 0 2 0 1 - -
Danuel House Jr. 15 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 2 - -
Georges Niang 13 4-8 4-7 0-0 2 1 0 0 12 - -
Montrezl Harrell 13 3-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 2 7 - -
Shake Milton 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 - -
Paul Reed 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 37 7-18 2-6 4-4 5 6 0 1 20 - -
Monte Morris * 35 7-13 2-3 3-3 3 4 3 0 19 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 34 10-17 3-7 9-9 9 3 2 0 32 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 32 3-5 1-1 2-2 7 2 0 1 9 - -
Anthony Gill * 25 5-10 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 0 11 - -
Will Barton 21 2-6 1-3 2-2 4 1 0 0 7 - -
Rui Hachimura 17 4-9 0-2 2-2 6 0 2 1 10 - -
Deni Avdija 16 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 - -
Daniel Gafford 10 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 1 - -
Johnny Davis 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Taj Gibson 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter