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2022-10-31

Model Predictions

Model Denver Nuggets Los Angeles Lakers Spread Result
Elo 71.7% 28.3% -
Bradley-Terry 56.1% 43.9% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 52.5% 47.5% -
Efficiency 61.8% 38.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 61.1% 38.9% -
Log Adjusted 61.1% 38.9% -
Points Off/Def 53.3% 46.7% -

Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +11 (121-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Denver Nuggets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Jokic * 35 8-16 1-5 6-7 14 6 0 2 23 29 -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * 33 3-8 3-4 0-0 5 5 1 2 9 14 -
Jamal Murray * 31 9-21 3-7 0-0 4 5 0 0 21 9 -
Aaron Gordon * 30 7-11 3-4 1-2 6 0 0 2 18 15 -
Michael Porter Jr. * 27 5-15 3-10 4-5 9 1 1 0 17 13 -
Bruce Brown 27 4-10 2-5 0-0 2 4 0 0 10 6 -
Jeff Green 16 2-7 0-2 1-2 2 1 0 0 5 1 -
Christian Braun 12 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 -1 -
DeAndre Jordan 12 2-2 0-0 1-2 6 0 1 2 5 12 -
Ish Smith 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -
Davon Reed 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 36 10-18 0-0 3-4 15 2 1 1 23 24 -
Lonnie Walker IV * 35 6-14 3-5 3-4 5 2 1 2 18 14 -
LeBron James * 34 10-22 2-5 4-5 6 8 1 0 26 19 -
Troy Brown Jr. * 26 4-8 0-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 8 7 -
Patrick Beverley * 21 2-5 1-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 7 -
Russell Westbrook 31 6-12 2-4 4-4 8 8 0 0 18 22 -
Austin Reaves 27 3-6 2-4 2-3 4 2 1 1 10 12 -
Matt Ryan 12 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 2 -
Wenyen Gabriel 8 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 4 2 -
Kendrick Nunn 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Damian Jones 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter