Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | -0.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.6% | 74.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +15 (124-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 34 | 7-17 | 1-4 | 11-14 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 5-18 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate * | 30 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 29 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 25 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 24 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 16 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 12 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 11 | 4-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 14-24 | 1-7 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 30 | - | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 32 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 31 | 7-15 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 31 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 4-5 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo * | 21 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jock Landale | 23 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 16 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 15 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Duane Washington Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter