Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (114-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 35 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 32 | 6-20 | 1-6 | 5-8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 5 | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. * | 32 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - | |
| Bol Bol * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - | |
| Terrence Ross * | 25 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - | |
| Chuma Okeke | 24 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 21 | 6-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 13 | - | |
| Kevon Harris | 17 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 17 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 17-26 | 2-9 | 8-14 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 27 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 31 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 29 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 28 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 27 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 8-8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 11 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 24 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Christian Wood | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Josh Green | 17 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
* = starter