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2022-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 30.2% 69.8% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 47.7% 52.3% +0.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 61.8% 38.2% -
Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 74.8% 25.2% -
Log Adjusted 74.7% 25.3% -
Points Off/Def 64.0% 36.0% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons +14 (128-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 36 10-21 5-13 5-5 3 4 2 0 30 18 -
Stephen Curry * 34 10-24 4-14 8-9 6 3 2 0 32 19 -
Andrew Wiggins * 25 4-15 1-3 1-1 3 1 1 1 10 1 -
Draymond Green * 25 2-5 1-2 2-2 7 7 0 1 7 17 -
Kevon Looney * 21 1-4 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 0 2 9 -
Moses Moody 23 3-7 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 1 7 6 -
Jonathan Kuminga 19 1-3 0-1 2-2 2 3 0 0 4 6 -
JaMychal Green 15 3-6 0-2 0-0 2 0 2 1 6 5 -
Ty Jerome 14 2-2 0-0 4-4 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
James Wiseman 13 2-4 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 6 7 -
Anthony Lamb 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
Ryan Rollins 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Patrick Baldwin Jr. 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 39 9-20 1-3 4-4 10 9 0 1 23 23 -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 34 5-8 3-6 8-8 3 3 0 0 21 19 -
Saddiq Bey * 34 9-17 4-9 6-6 6 3 0 0 28 20 -
Isaiah Stewart * 32 6-10 2-5 10-11 13 0 0 0 24 27 -
Jaden Ivey * 31 5-11 2-5 3-5 4 3 1 1 15 13 -
Killian Hayes 17 2-7 0-1 0-0 2 5 1 0 4 5 -
Isaiah Livers 16 2-4 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 5 -
Jalen Duren 15 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 3 5 -
Hamidou Diallo 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 0 4 6 -
Cory Joseph 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter