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2022-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 9.0% 91.0% -
Bradley-Terry 10.7% 89.3% -
Margin 3.0% 97.0% +19.1 (1.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.5% 61.5% -
Efficiency 22.2% 77.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.6% 77.4% -
Log Adjusted 22.5% 77.5% -
Points Off/Def 27.2% 72.8% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +18 (112-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bradley Beal * 37 4-16 2-7 2-2 1 8 1 1 12 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 28 3-13 1-5 2-2 8 1 1 0 9 - -
Monte Morris * 27 1-7 0-2 1-1 7 2 0 0 3 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 27 8-16 0-4 1-2 13 1 0 2 17 - -
Deni Avdija * 11 2-4 1-1 1-2 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Rui Hachimura 22 5-12 1-4 2-4 9 3 0 1 13 - -
Jordan Goodwin 18 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 1 6 - -
Anthony Gill 18 4-6 0-1 2-2 5 2 1 0 10 - -
Will Barton 14 2-8 0-3 0-1 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Daniel Gafford 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -
Johnny Davis 8 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Isaiah Todd 5 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Schakel 5 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 - -
Taj Gibson 5 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 7 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 29 7-18 4-9 6-6 10 2 0 0 24 - -
Marcus Smart * 29 2-6 1-5 2-2 3 6 2 0 7 - -
Jayson Tatum * 27 8-15 5-10 2-2 4 3 1 0 23 - -
Al Horford * 23 2-7 1-5 0-0 8 1 0 1 5 - -
Derrick White * 23 2-6 1-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 5 - -
Grant Williams 24 4-6 2-3 0-0 3 3 0 1 10 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 23 6-12 3-5 8-8 2 4 0 0 23 - -
Sam Hauser 22 3-5 3-5 0-0 5 2 1 1 9 - -
Luke Kornet 19 1-1 1-1 0-0 4 3 0 2 3 - -
Payton Pritchard 7 0-1 0-1 1-2 0 2 0 0 1 - -
Noah Vonleh 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Justin Jackson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter