Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 82.0% | 18.0% | -8.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.0% | 51.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -6 (111-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 41 | 15-27 | 0-2 | 8-8 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 38 | - | - | |
| Luguentz Dort * | 40 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Tre Mann * | 26 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Darius Bazley | 26 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams | 26 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 9 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jeremiah Robinson-Earl | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 40 | 8-23 | 0-6 | 15-19 | 16 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 37 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 35 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 35 | 5-15 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 18 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 28 | 1-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 28 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. | 22 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter