Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.6% | 67.4% | +4.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.8% | 64.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +8 (123-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 36 | 15-32 | 5-10 | 7-7 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 42 | 21 | - | |
| Dejounte Murray * | 34 | 9-19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 15 | - | |
| John Collins * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 28 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 24 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 16 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 12 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 13-22 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 2 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 31 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 34 | 8-12 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 18 | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 32 | 11-22 | 1-1 | 11-19 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 34 | 34 | - | |
| Jevon Carter * | 25 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 24 | 4-12 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - | |
| George Hill | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 15 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Serge Ibaka | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
* = starter