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2022-10-30

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 46.0% 54.0% -
Bradley-Terry 38.1% 61.9% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 49.7% 50.3% -
Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.8% 44.2% -
Log Adjusted 55.7% 44.3% -
Points Off/Def 49.2% 50.8% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -5 (109-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 35 2-13 0-5 11-11 6 11 2 0 15 - -
Joel Embiid * 31 9-15 1-2 6-9 7 4 1 0 25 - -
Tobias Harris * 31 4-6 3-4 2-2 5 3 1 2 13 - -
Tyrese Maxey * 29 5-14 2-6 2-3 5 3 1 0 14 - -
P.J. Tucker * 22 3-3 2-2 0-0 6 0 0 2 8 - -
De'Anthony Melton 21 4-8 2-4 0-0 3 4 1 1 10 - -
Matisse Thybulle 20 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -
Georges Niang 18 6-8 3-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 15 - -
Montrezl Harrell 11 1-4 0-0 1-2 4 2 1 0 3 - -
Danuel House Jr. 9 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 - -
Shake Milton 6 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 6 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nikola Vucevic * 36 8-14 5-7 2-2 19 3 1 0 23 - -
Alex Caruso * 35 2-5 1-2 4-4 3 6 3 1 9 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 34 7-12 1-2 9-10 3 4 0 0 24 - -
Zach LaVine * 33 8-19 2-9 2-2 2 3 0 0 20 - -
Patrick Williams * 32 2-5 1-3 4-4 3 0 1 1 9 - -
Coby White 21 3-9 1-4 0-0 0 2 1 0 7 - -
Javonte Green 18 3-4 0-0 3-4 6 1 1 0 9 - -
Goran Dragic 13 1-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 11 2-4 0-1 2-3 3 1 0 1 6 - -
Dalen Terry 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

* = starter