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2022-10-29

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Charlotte Hornets Spread Result
Elo 68.5% 31.5% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 72.9% 27.1% - โœ—
Margin 77.5% 22.5% -6.8 โœ— (13.8 off)
Pythagorean 59.7% 40.3% - โœ—
Efficiency 72.3% 27.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 72.6% 27.4% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 72.7% 27.3% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 62.0% 38.0% - โœ—

Actual: Charlotte Hornets +7 (120-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 40 4-13 2-6 0-0 6 4 1 0 10 - -
Stephen Curry * 38 10-22 3-13 8-8 11 6 1 0 31 - -
Draymond Green * 34 6-9 0-1 0-2 8 6 1 3 12 - -
Klay Thompson * 31 5-14 1-7 0-0 4 3 0 0 11 - -
Kevon Looney * 27 3-6 0-0 4-6 9 4 0 1 10 - -
Jordan Poole 36 10-20 4-11 0-0 2 4 2 1 24 - -
JaMychal Green 16 0-2 0-1 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 - -
Ty Jerome 15 3-5 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 1 7 - -
Moses Moody 14 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 8 - -
James Wiseman 4 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Washington * 40 13-23 1-6 4-4 7 1 1 0 31 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 38 7-18 3-7 1-2 5 5 0 1 18 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 37 4-10 2-2 3-4 9 8 0 0 13 - -
Gordon Hayward * 34 8-16 1-3 6-7 2 4 0 1 23 - -
Mason Plumlee * 23 2-4 0-0 2-6 9 7 1 0 6 - -
Jalen McDaniels 32 4-10 2-5 2-2 10 2 0 0 12 - -
Nick Richards 19 3-8 0-0 3-3 8 2 0 0 9 - -
Theo Maledon 15 2-8 1-4 0-0 0 2 0 0 5 - -
James Bouknight 14 0-5 0-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
JT Thor 8 0-0 0-0 3-3 3 0 0 0 3 - -

* = starter