Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Rockets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 66.2% | 33.8% | -3.7 | ✗ (17.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +14 (125-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 34 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 33 | 6-10 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 4-19 | 2-10 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 25 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jae'Sean Tate | 17 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 16 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 13 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 37 | 10-20 | 7-15 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 30 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 35 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 32 | 12-17 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 27 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe * | 29 | 7-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 24 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 13 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter