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2022-10-29

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% -
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +13 (124-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Naji Marshall * 35 7-13 3-7 4-5 6 5 1 0 21 - -
CJ McCollum * 34 6-19 0-5 5-6 2 9 1 0 17 - -
Trey Murphy III * 32 4-9 3-7 2-2 5 1 2 0 13 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 31 11-16 0-0 3-3 10 2 1 0 25 - -
Jose Alvarado * 29 4-12 4-7 2-2 1 3 1 0 14 - -
Devonte' Graham 28 3-7 3-6 2-2 3 2 2 0 11 - -
Garrett Temple 17 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 6 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 1 2 - -
Willy Hernangomez 8 0-2 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Jaxson Hayes 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Dereon Seabron 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 32 6-14 0-4 4-4 5 4 0 0 16 - -
Mikal Bridges * 31 10-13 3-5 4-4 2 4 1 3 27 - -
Chris Paul * 30 1-7 0-1 5-6 5 9 1 0 7 - -
Cameron Johnson * 26 5-10 2-6 4-4 2 3 2 0 16 - -
Deandre Ayton * 7 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Bismack Biyombo 23 5-7 0-0 1-2 13 2 0 2 11 - -
Cameron Payne 17 5-10 2-3 0-0 2 5 1 1 12 - -
Torrey Craig 17 6-6 1-1 0-0 6 2 0 0 13 - -
Jock Landale 17 4-9 0-4 0-0 2 2 0 1 8 - -
Landry Shamet 17 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 5 - -
Damion Lee 15 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Josh Okogie 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 1 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter