Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.2% | 76.8% | +6.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +16 (117-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 25 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 23 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 22 | 1-10 | 0-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 22 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 21 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 19 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Collin Sexton | 16 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Leandro Bolmaro | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Micah Potter | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 7-15 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 20 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 32 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 24 | 8-18 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 20 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jack White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter