Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Jazz | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.4% | 90.6% | +12.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +16 (117-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jarred Vanderbilt * | 28 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - | |
| Lauri Markkanen * | 25 | 7-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - | |
| Mike Conley * | 23 | 4-7 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Jordan Clarkson * | 22 | 1-10 | 0-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - | |
| Malik Beasley | 22 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - | |
| Talen Horton-Tucker | 21 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - | |
| Ochai Agbaji | 19 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - | |
| Collin Sexton | 16 | 5-9 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Leandro Bolmaro | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker | 8 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Udoka Azubuike | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Micah Potter | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 30 | 7-15 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 20 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 32 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 24 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 24 | 8-18 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 13 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 20 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Jack White | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter