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2022-10-29

Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls San Antonio Spurs Spread Result
Elo 22.3% 77.7% -
Bradley-Terry 44.6% 55.4% -
Margin 43.0% 57.0% +1.6 (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 63.8% 36.2% -
Efficiency 80.4% 19.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.3% 20.7% -
Log Adjusted 79.4% 20.6% -
Points Off/Def 69.0% 31.0% -

Actual: San Antonio Spurs +5 (129-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DeMar DeRozan * 35 11-20 0-1 11-12 1 1 1 0 33 16 -
Nikola Vucevic * 24 4-13 1-5 0-0 5 2 0 1 9 4 -
Alex Caruso * 23 1-5 1-3 0-0 3 4 1 0 3 6 -
Patrick Williams * 20 4-7 1-2 1-1 2 1 3 0 10 9 -
Ayo Dosunmu * 20 5-10 2-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 12 6 -
Coby White 30 7-14 3-7 2-4 4 4 1 0 19 14 -
Javonte Green 24 3-7 0-2 0-0 4 0 3 1 6 7 -
Andre Drummond 22 8-12 0-0 1-3 14 2 3 0 17 24 -
Goran Dragic 21 3-8 1-3 2-2 3 5 0 0 9 9 -
Derrick Jones Jr. 16 1-3 0-0 4-4 3 0 1 1 6 8 -

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keldon Johnson * 34 8-19 6-12 11-12 3 4 2 0 33 23 -
Tre Jones * 32 3-8 1-2 4-4 4 8 1 0 11 16 -
Jeremy Sochan * 31 5-8 2-4 1-2 6 5 1 1 13 18 -
Josh Richardson * 30 4-10 2-6 2-2 5 6 1 0 12 14 -
Jakob Poeltl * 30 10-12 0-0 1-2 13 4 1 1 21 28 -
Doug McDermott 26 3-9 1-6 2-3 4 2 0 0 9 6 -
Zach Collins 17 7-9 2-3 0-1 6 3 0 1 16 17 -
Blake Wesley 15 4-6 2-3 0-0 0 4 0 0 10 8 -
Keita Bates-Diop 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 4 1 -
Isaiah Roby 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter