Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Washington Wizards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 75.5% | 24.5% | -6.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.6% | 57.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Wizards -10 (117-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton * | 36 | 9-16 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 24 | - | |
| Buddy Hield * | 33 | 10-17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 15 | - | |
| Myles Turner * | 32 | 7-14 | 3-4 | 10-10 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 27 | 30 | - | |
| Jalen Smith * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - | |
| Aaron Nesmith * | 29 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 5-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 20 | - | |
| Bennedict Mathurin | 23 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 4 | - | |
| Andrew Nembhard | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Isaiah Jackson | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| T.J. McConnell | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | |
| Chris Duarte | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Goga Bitadze | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 37 | 7-19 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 12 | - | |
| Bradley Beal * | 37 | 11-18 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 31 | 28 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 31 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - | |
| Kristaps Porzingis * | 30 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 17 | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 19 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - | |
| Will Barton | 29 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - | |
| Rui Hachimura | 24 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - | |
| Johnny Davis | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - | |
| Vernon Carey Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Isaiah Todd | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Jordan Schakel | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter