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2022-10-28

Model Predictions

Model Cleveland Cavaliers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 32.7% 67.3% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 33.6% 66.4% +3.7 (12.7 off)
Pythagorean 45.7% 54.3% -
Efficiency 43.0% 57.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.8% 57.2% -
Log Adjusted 42.8% 57.2% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -9 (123-132). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 45 15-26 5-9 6-6 4 3 1 0 41 - -
Caris LeVert * 42 12-21 6-8 11-12 4 7 3 0 41 - -
Evan Mobley * 41 7-12 1-3 4-6 10 3 1 2 19 - -
Jarrett Allen * 39 5-9 0-1 2-4 11 2 0 0 12 - -
Dean Wade * 38 1-3 1-2 1-2 6 1 0 0 4 - -
Cedi Osman 22 1-6 1-5 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Kevin Love 20 3-7 2-4 1-2 5 0 0 0 9 - -
Raul Neto 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Isaac Okoro 5 1-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 42 11-19 3-7 7-8 7 4 1 1 32 - -
Jaylen Brown * 42 11-22 2-7 8-12 8 4 2 0 32 - -
Al Horford * 41 5-7 2-4 0-0 2 4 0 1 12 - -
Marcus Smart * 37 3-15 2-9 3-4 5 7 2 0 11 - -
Derrick White * 22 3-5 1-2 2-2 1 1 2 0 9 - -
Luke Kornet 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 4 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 22 3-5 1-1 2-2 2 5 1 0 9 - -
Blake Griffin 11 1-1 1-1 4-4 2 0 1 0 7 - -
Sam Hauser 11 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Noah Vonleh 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter