Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Detroit Pistons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 30.0% | 70.0% | +4.7 | ✗ (28.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Detroit Pistons -24 (112-136). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 32 | 12-21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 30 | 12-20 | 4-6 | 8-10 | 2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 36 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 17 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 27 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 25 | 2-8 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 21 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 21 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 5 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trent Forrest | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham * | 33 | 14-23 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 9-9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey * | 29 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 29 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 23 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Killian Hayes | 18 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Livers | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Rodney McGruder | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter