Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.0% | 78.0% | +7.0 | ✓ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +11 (110-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Davis * | 36 | 11-19 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| LeBron James * | 35 | 8-21 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 30 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves * | 26 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 19 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Juan Toscano-Anderson | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 8 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 34 | 12-17 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 33 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 27 | 6-15 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 25 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 25 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 21 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 16 | 2-12 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jack White | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter