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2022-10-27

Model Predictions

Model San Antonio Spurs Minnesota Timberwolves Spread Result
Elo 47.2% 52.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.4% 69.6% - โœ“
Margin 19.2% 80.8% +7.9 โœ“ (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“
Efficiency 17.1% 82.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.9% 81.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.4% 76.6% - โœ“

Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +12 (134-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Antonio Spurs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keldon Johnson * 33 9-20 5-10 4-4 4 3 0 0 27 - -
Josh Richardson * 32 4-8 3-6 0-0 3 10 2 1 11 - -
Tre Jones * 32 3-12 1-3 6-6 7 3 1 0 13 - -
Jakob Poeltl * 29 5-8 0-0 2-4 10 4 0 0 12 - -
Jeremy Sochan * 27 5-13 2-6 0-0 1 2 1 1 12 - -
Doug McDermott 24 6-14 4-8 3-3 3 3 0 0 19 - -
Romeo Langford 16 2-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Zach Collins 16 2-4 1-2 2-2 4 5 1 0 7 - -
Keita Bates-Diop 14 6-9 0-0 3-3 4 1 1 0 15 - -
Isaiah Roby 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Gorgui Dieng 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 38 12-21 7-12 3-4 3 9 2 0 34 - -
Karl-Anthony Towns * 37 9-14 3-5 0-0 4 7 2 1 21 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 34 8-9 4-5 0-0 3 1 2 3 20 - -
Rudy Gobert * 34 4-6 0-0 2-4 9 1 1 1 10 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 28 5-10 1-4 1-4 2 9 0 1 12 - -
Jaylen Nowell 21 9-13 3-5 2-2 4 2 0 0 23 - -
Jordan McLaughlin 19 2-4 0-1 2-2 1 5 1 0 6 - -
Taurean Prince 19 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 6 - -
Naz Reid 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter