Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.2% | 80.8% | +7.9 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.9% | 81.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.8% | 81.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +12 (134-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 33 | 9-20 | 5-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 14 | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 19 | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 32 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 27 | 5-13 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 24 | 6-14 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - | |
| Romeo Langford | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Zach Collins | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 14 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 12 | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards * | 38 | 12-21 | 7-12 | 3-4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 34 | 27 | - | |
| Karl-Anthony Towns * | 37 | 9-14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 21 | 21 | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 34 | 8-9 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 20 | - | |
| Rudy Gobert * | 34 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 28 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 21 | 9-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - | |
| Jordan McLaughlin | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - | |
| Taurean Prince | 19 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Naz Reid | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter