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2022-10-27

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 23.0% 77.0% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 42.8% 57.2% +1.6 (13.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 31.8% 68.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.0% 67.0% -
Log Adjusted 33.0% 67.0% -
Points Off/Def 33.6% 66.4% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +15 (124-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 38 6-15 2-6 3-4 4 11 1 1 17 - -
Buddy Hield * 32 8-16 7-12 2-3 3 4 0 0 25 - -
Jalen Smith * 29 6-10 3-5 0-0 9 2 0 2 15 - -
Myles Turner * 24 1-7 0-4 3-3 6 2 1 4 5 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 17 4-6 1-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 9 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 26 3-11 0-3 9-10 2 4 2 0 15 - -
Chris Duarte 25 4-11 2-6 2-2 3 1 0 1 12 - -
Isaiah Jackson 19 4-4 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 1 8 - -
T.J. McConnell 11 0-5 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 1 0 - -
Andrew Nembhard 8 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 - -
Terry Taylor 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zach LaVine * 34 6-13 6-8 10-12 6 5 1 0 28 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 32 6-14 0-1 5-5 1 6 0 0 17 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 31 5-10 1-3 3-3 7 4 0 0 14 - -
Ayo Dosunmu * 30 4-9 0-2 4-4 4 7 2 1 12 - -
Patrick Williams * 14 4-5 2-2 0-0 0 2 2 0 10 - -
Alex Caruso 23 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 3 3 2 8 - -
Javonte Green 16 4-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 8 - -
Andre Drummond 16 4-8 0-0 0-0 13 1 0 1 8 - -
Goran Dragic 15 5-9 3-3 0-0 2 5 0 0 13 - -
Coby White 11 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 0 1 0 6 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 9 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Malcolm Hill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter