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2022-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Charlotte Hornets New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 29.2% 70.8% -
Bradley-Terry 14.7% 85.3% -
Margin 12.0% 88.0% +10.9 (7.9 off)
Pythagorean 33.1% 66.9% -
Efficiency 18.3% 81.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.1% 81.9% -
Log Adjusted 18.1% 81.9% -
Points Off/Def 24.1% 75.9% -

Actual: New York Knicks +3 (134-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charlotte Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Gordon Hayward * 39 8-18 1-3 4-6 9 4 0 1 21 - -
P.J. Washington * 37 5-14 4-8 3-4 5 1 1 0 17 - -
Dennis Smith Jr. * 36 7-16 0-3 0-2 3 11 2 0 14 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 35 7-18 1-6 2-3 5 0 2 1 17 - -
Mason Plumlee * 31 2-3 0-0 4-6 7 4 1 1 8 - -
Jalen McDaniels 22 6-10 3-3 2-2 6 2 1 1 17 - -
Nick Richards 19 2-2 0-0 3-4 4 2 0 0 7 - -
James Bouknight 17 5-9 2-5 1-2 2 3 1 0 13 - -
Theo Maledon 16 6-7 2-2 1-1 0 4 1 0 15 - -
JT Thor 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 - -
Bryce McGowens 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Brunson * 40 10-15 2-5 5-5 7 13 1 1 27 - -
Julius Randle * 39 7-19 0-2 3-4 6 2 2 1 17 - -
RJ Barrett * 38 9-21 0-5 4-4 8 1 0 1 22 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 37 4-4 0-0 1-2 8 1 0 6 9 - -
Evan Fournier * 24 6-11 2-6 0-0 3 2 1 0 14 - -
Cam Reddish 24 1-3 1-2 2-2 3 0 0 1 5 - -
Immanuel Quickley 18 3-6 2-3 3-4 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 15 4-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 8 - -
Obi Toppin 13 3-6 3-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 9 - -
Derrick Rose 12 5-7 1-2 1-1 2 2 0 0 12 - -

* = starter