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2022-10-26

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 33.0% 67.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Margin 51.6% 48.4% -0.4 โœ— (29.4 off)
Pythagorean 46.2% 53.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.7% 55.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“

Actual: Phoenix Suns +29 (134-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 31 7-17 2-7 0-0 6 3 1 1 16 - -
Stephen Curry * 29 7-17 4-9 3-5 7 8 1 0 21 - -
Draymond Green * 29 7-10 0-1 0-0 8 5 3 0 14 - -
Klay Thompson * 18 1-8 0-5 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 - -
Kevon Looney * 17 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Jordan Poole 27 6-12 2-5 3-4 2 5 0 0 17 - -
Moses Moody 24 4-9 2-4 3-4 3 0 1 3 13 - -
James Wiseman 18 5-8 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 12 - -
JaMychal Green 16 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 15 1-4 0-1 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 - -
Ty Jerome 12 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 35 10-19 3-8 11-14 2 7 3 0 34 - -
Chris Paul * 35 5-10 4-5 2-2 7 9 1 0 16 - -
Cameron Johnson * 33 3-11 1-6 2-4 5 2 0 0 9 - -
Mikal Bridges * 32 7-8 0-0 3-3 6 2 1 2 17 - -
Deandre Ayton * 25 6-14 0-1 4-4 14 4 1 0 16 - -
Jock Landale 22 6-12 1-4 4-5 7 0 0 2 17 - -
Landry Shamet 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 - -
Damion Lee 15 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 5 - -
Cameron Payne 13 3-6 0-0 2-2 4 5 0 0 8 - -
Torrey Craig 10 3-4 2-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 8 - -
Josh Okogie 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter