Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Phoenix Suns | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.6% | 48.4% | -0.4 | ✗ (29.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Phoenix Suns +29 (134-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Wiggins * | 31 | 7-17 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Stephen Curry * | 29 | 7-17 | 4-9 | 3-5 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - | |
| Draymond Green * | 29 | 7-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 18 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -3 | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 17 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 27 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - | |
| Moses Moody | 24 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | - | |
| James Wiseman | 18 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Booker * | 35 | 10-19 | 3-8 | 11-14 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 34 | 27 | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 35 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 23 | - | |
| Cameron Johnson * | 33 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Mikal Bridges * | 32 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 20 | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 25 | 6-14 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 21 | - | |
| Jock Landale | 22 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 14 | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Damion Lee | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - | |
| Cameron Payne | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Torrey Craig | 10 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter