Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.8% | 40.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.2% | 36.8% | -3.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +2 (113-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 37 | 8-15 | 4-8 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 36 | 16-30 | 2-13 | 3-5 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 37 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 35 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 34 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee * | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 29 | 8-10 | 3-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 27 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Green | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Facundo Campazzo | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Murphy III * | 36 | 8-8 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| CJ McCollum * | 35 | 6-20 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 33 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado * | 25 | 6-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 22 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 27 | 4-10 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Larry Nance Jr. | 23 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 22 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter