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2022-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Detroit Pistons Washington Wizards Spread Result
Elo 85.0% 15.0% -
Bradley-Terry 69.8% 30.2% -
Margin 82.1% 17.9% -8.4 (29.4 off)
Pythagorean 35.6% 64.4% -
Efficiency 23.6% 76.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.4% 73.6% -
Points Off/Def 29.4% 70.6% -

Actual: Washington Wizards +21 (120-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cade Cunningham * 32 7-19 0-2 5-6 3 3 1 0 19 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 29 8-13 4-7 5-5 3 1 0 0 25 - -
Jaden Ivey * 28 4-10 1-3 2-4 2 4 2 0 11 - -
Saddiq Bey * 27 2-5 1-3 1-1 2 1 0 1 6 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 27 5-11 1-4 2-2 10 1 0 0 13 - -
Jalen Duren 23 3-6 0-0 0-1 8 0 0 0 6 - -
Isaiah Livers 20 1-6 0-5 3-3 3 1 0 0 5 - -
Hamidou Diallo 17 3-5 0-0 1-3 7 0 0 0 7 - -
Killian Hayes 16 0-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Cory Joseph 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 5 - -
Kevin Knox II 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 - -

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Monte Morris * 29 3-8 1-4 2-4 6 6 0 0 9 - -
Kyle Kuzma * 27 9-17 0-5 7-8 6 1 0 1 25 - -
Deni Avdija * 26 3-6 1-3 2-2 7 2 1 2 9 - -
Kristaps Porzingis * 25 8-13 2-4 2-2 7 2 0 0 20 - -
Bradley Beal * 21 4-9 1-4 4-4 4 6 0 0 13 - -
Will Barton 29 6-9 4-6 0-0 2 4 2 1 16 - -
Rui Hachimura 26 4-8 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 10 - -
Daniel Gafford 19 4-6 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 2 9 - -
Delon Wright 16 2-4 1-3 0-0 2 3 4 1 5 - -
Anthony Gill 6 0-1 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Johnny Davis 2 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Taj Gibson 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Isaiah Todd 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Jordan Goodwin 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter