Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Portland Trail Blazers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.0% | 37.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.8% | 31.2% | -4.3 | ✗ (29.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 75.0% | 25.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.4% | 28.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Portland Trail Blazers +25 (135-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 12-16 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 26 | 3-12 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 25 | 7-14 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 19 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 18 | 5-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 7 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 4 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Peyton Watson | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerami Grant * | 35 | 7-13 | 1-6 | 6-7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 35 | 11-17 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 29 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 34 | 10-16 | 4-7 | 7-8 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 31 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 34 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Nassir Little | 18 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 16 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter