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2022-10-25

Model Predictions

Model Boston Celtics Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 62.6% 37.4% -
Bradley-Terry 65.8% 34.2% -
Margin 78.6% 21.4% -7.2 (25.2 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 63.8% 36.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% -
Log Adjusted 63.1% 36.9% -
Points Off/Def 54.5% 45.5% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls +18 (120-102). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 35 8-23 2-7 3-4 6 2 0 2 21 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 8-18 4-8 6-6 8 5 0 0 26 - -
Marcus Smart * 32 4-6 3-5 0-0 1 6 2 2 11 - -
Al Horford * 25 3-7 2-6 0-0 5 2 0 1 8 - -
Derrick White * 25 2-8 1-5 0-0 1 4 0 0 5 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 22 5-13 2-6 0-0 6 2 1 0 12 - -
Grant Williams 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 - -
Noah Vonleh 12 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 2 2 - -
Sam Hauser 11 1-4 1-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 4 - -
Payton Pritchard 5 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kornet 5 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Justin Jackson 5 2-3 2-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 6 - -
Blake Griffin 5 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ayo Dosunmu * 33 9-10 4-4 0-0 6 2 1 0 22 - -
DeMar DeRozan * 32 10-17 0-0 5-5 5 5 1 0 25 - -
Zach LaVine * 32 5-15 3-5 6-7 2 2 1 1 19 - -
Nikola Vucevic * 30 7-19 0-3 4-5 23 5 0 0 18 - -
Patrick Williams * 14 2-7 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 1 4 - -
Alex Caruso 18 2-2 1-1 2-2 3 4 0 2 7 - -
Goran Dragic 17 2-7 0-1 3-4 0 6 0 0 7 - -
Javonte Green 16 2-2 2-2 0-0 2 0 1 2 6 - -
Andre Drummond 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 12 0 0 0 2 - -
Derrick Jones Jr. 14 2-4 0-1 6-6 2 1 0 0 10 - -
Coby White 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 - -
Tony Bradley 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Dalen Terry 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Malcolm Hill 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter